Estimated job numbers – September, 2025

With the shutdown, official job numbers data are not yet available and will hopefully be released next month. Here is an AI summary of estimated data:

“Detailed data on jobs created in September 2025 is not yet available, but reports from early October 2025 indicate the U.S. private sector shed 32,000 jobs in September, though a separate estimate placed consensus job creation at 50,000 for that month, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. Official government reports on job creation are typically released on the first Friday of the month for the preceding month, meaning the full picture for September 2025 would not be available until early November 2025.

Key Details
Official Report Delayed: The government’s official monthly jobs report, which provides the most accurate data, was not released in early October 2025 due to a government shutdown and was expected in early November.
Conflicting Early Data: As of early October 2025, there were two different pieces of information regarding September’s job figures:
The ADP National Employment Report indicated a net loss of 32,000 jobs in the private sector for September.
Financial firm FactSet reported that consensus estimates were for 50,000 jobs to be added in September, a significant increase from the previous month, according to CNN, CNN.
Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate was projected to remain steady at 4.3%, according to the consensus estimates mentioned by CNN.

What to Look For Next
BLS Report: The official Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report, released on the first Friday of the month at 8:30 a.m. ET, will provide the definitive number of jobs created in September 2025 and is expected in early November.

Job numbers were not great in August (net 22,000) and low expectations were the same for September. Also, later this month, the economic growth numbers are supposed to be available. Let’s hope the shutdown will be ended. With these impacted employees and the lack of services to customers, the longer the shutdown, the worse the numbers.

Black fraternity moves planned 2025 conference from Florida

An article by Richard Luscombe in The Guardian called “Black fraternity moves Florida event over DeSantis’s ‘assault’ on minorities” caught my eye. Per the article, the subtitle says it all “Alpha Phi Alpha joins a number of companies and organizations boycotting state in protest of governor’s extremist positions.”

Here are the first few paragraphs: “A historic Black fraternity is pulling its 2025 conference from Florida to protest the rightwing governor Ron DeSantis’s ‘continued assault’ on minority communities, which includes new state teaching standards that forced labor was beneficial to enslaved people.

Alpha Phi Alpha Fraternity, Incorporated said the decision to move its event from Orlando, joining a growing number of companies and organizations boycotting the state, was to highlight DeSantis’s ‘harmful, racist and insensitive policies against the Black community.’”

There is not much to add other than to repeat a belief of mine that a leader of an entity – a city, county, region, state or country – has a key goal to attract business growth and visitors. That means customers, jobs and tax revenue. With the Florida governor’s multiple autocratic antics around exaggerated wedge issues, he is doing the exact opposite of what he needs to be doing. He is driving people away. That is not leadership, that is shooting yourself in the foot.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jul/27/black-fraternity-florida-conference-ron-desantis-boycott